Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000582 0.000669 0.000763 0.000869 0.000987 0.001113 0.001257
2025-04-20 0.000459 0.000582 0.000723 0.000894 0.001096 0.001324 0.001600
2025-04-27 0.000390 0.000528 0.000695 0.000906 0.001165 0.001469 0.001848
2025-05-04 0.000327 0.000473 0.000655 0.000896 0.001201 0.001570 0.002044
2025-05-11 0.000276 0.000423 0.000615 0.000878 0.001222 0.001648 0.002208
2025-05-18 0.000246 0.000397 0.000602 0.000890 0.001277 0.001768 0.002426
2025-05-25 0.000218 0.000370 0.000583 0.000893 0.001318 0.001869 0.002620
2025-06-01 0.000185 0.000331 0.000545 0.000864 0.001314 0.001909 0.002735
2025-06-08 0.000157 0.000298 0.000510 0.000838 0.001310 0.001946 0.002845
2025-06-15 0.000140 0.000278 0.000494 0.000835 0.001338 0.002026 0.003012
2025-06-22 0.000125 0.000260 0.000479 0.000834 0.001366 0.002106 0.003179
2025-06-29 0.000110 0.000241 0.000460 0.000823 0.001379 0.002164 0.003319
2025-07-06 0.000095 0.000221 0.000437 0.000806 0.001383 0.002211 0.003444
2025-07-13 0.000088 0.000214 0.000438 0.000826 0.001442 0.002337 0.003684
2025-07-20 0.000081 0.000206 0.000434 0.000838 0.001490 0.002448 0.003905
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000191 0.000417 0.000828 0.001502 0.002507 0.004051
2025-08-03 0.000062 0.000176 0.000398 0.000811 0.001503 0.002548 0.004171
2025-08-10 0.000057 0.000169 0.000395 0.000823 0.001548 0.002656 0.004391
2025-08-17 0.000051 0.000161 0.000387 0.000825 0.001578 0.002742 0.004580
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000146 0.000364 0.000798 0.001559 0.002752 0.004656
2025-08-31 0.000037 0.000132 0.000343 0.000773 0.001542 0.002762 0.004732
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000124 0.000334 0.000771 0.001562 0.002832 0.004898
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000117 0.000326 0.000770 0.001584 0.002903 0.005068